Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?

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Inspired on this tweet: https://twitter.com/AnilVohra1962/status/1647369765391069184?t=gigWHNeMZd1iQbvEgW7lTA&s=19

This market will resolve to YES if this measure of Inflation- Unemployment Rate, as measured in the Fred is below -4% the next time the Federal Reserve cuts the baseline rates.

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May 3, 11:08pm: ~~Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below 4%?~~ → Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?

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