Will Musk be part of a significant event worthy of significant coverage by the main media outlets during the week of 25th to 31st of July?
10
5
100
resolved Jul 31
Resolved
YES

Although it requires judgment, I consider being part of a polemic anything that could be in the homepage of a main media outlet. Some examples:

-Trump/Musk fight continues

-A new child is revealed

-His rebuttal to Twitter is filed

-A significant interview

-He buys Twitter

-He meets the Dalai Lama

-A Tesla employee is reported to be buying glass and people are investigating if Musk is involved

I'll prefer to settle if by any day of the week Musk is on the front page of the Wall Street Journal because of some event that happened during the week.

For the previous week, you can see the bet here: https://manifold.markets/MP/will-musk-be-part-of-a-significant

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Settling to YES based on the WSJ story about the rebuttal. I changed the rules and under the next weeks rules I won't give YES to ordinary course of business stuff, even when they're newsworthy, like the confidential rebuttal.
bought Ṁ150 of YES
Musk files rebuttal to Twitter, on WSJ homepage right now: https://i.imgur.com/GLR6pHW.png
bought Ṁ100 of YES
Prodded an archiver into producing a refreshed archive of the webpage, since I needed one newer than a few hours old: https://archive.ph/LmHX5
@jbeshir LOL! He filed it confidentially because he’s tired of the joke being on him. Everything he does related to this deal undermines his trustworthiness.
predicted YES
Does https://www.bbc.com/news/business-62288139 not qualify?
predicted YES
...I should use this link, obviously: https://www.wsj.com/articles/elon-musk-affair-sergey-brin-wife-divorce-11658674840
@Duncan Yes, the Serjey Brin drama extended into this week. I'll soon settle this market on both the Serjey Brin drama and the confidential Twitter rebuttal.
The Serjey Brin incident happening one day before this market opening was a lucky event to those holding NO shares