Will Musk be part of a significant event worthy of significant coverage by the main media outlets duri the week of 18th to 24th of July?

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resolved Jul 22

Resolved

YES

ALL

Although it requires judgment, I consider being part of a polemic anything that could be in the homepage of a main media outlet. Some examples:

-Trump/Musk fight continues

-A new child is revealed

-His rebuttal to Twitter is filed

-A significant interview

-He buys Twitter

-He meets the Dalai Lama

I'll prefer to settle if by any day of the week Musk is on the front page of the Wall Street Journal because of some event that happened during the week.

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I like this question, particularly the idea of betting on whether or not a specific celebrity will make news during a given window of time, but the way it was written it seems almost impossible for it to resolve NO.

predicted NO

@BTE Help me with the writing of next week's.

@MP okay!

predicted YES

My two cents: If you want an objective criteria, one possibility is "will the name Elon Musk appear anywhere on the front page of the Wall Street Journal during the week". It's not the same as what you were asking exactly, though. If you want a subjective criteria that's more similar to what you were originally asking, it's going to be a judgement call, but you can give examples of what would and wouldn't count as YES to make it clearer.

predicted NO

@jack There are examples of what counts as an YES, but I'll add examples of what counts as a NO too!

Why didn't this resolve yes for the Delaware court hearing on the Twitter acquisition? That story is specifically about Musk personally and is definitely a "significant event worthy of significant coverage".

predicted NO

@BTE There were many news I could resolve YES for. I tried to resolve to something I found particularly odd. But I think that there are many news for which one could solve YES and in fact, I warned that I was intending to solve YES.

The numbers on this page do not match up with the numbers in the email I received. In the email it said my investment was -3 and my payout was 0. Perhaps a bug??

predicted NO

You can check the next week market here: https://manifold.markets/MP/will-musk-be-part-of-a-significant-c323546487f2

predicted NO

I solved to yes on this news: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-21/tesla-tsla-executive-under-scrutiny-in-internal-probe

@MP This story isn't about Musk at all. I also don't really see how this is a "significant event worthy of significant coverage by the media".

predicted YES

I just opened wsj.com and the second story is: > Tesla Ends Streak of Record Profits > Elon Musk’s electric-vehicle maker reported its first sequential decline in quarterly profit in more than a year. Does this count as YES?