Will Magnus Carlsen be the World Chess Champion again in 2025?
Plus
23
Ṁ23542025
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Carlsen wins the 2025 classic chess championship, this market solves to YES.
This market solves to NO as soon as we are sure Magnus can't challenge the title.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@MP The plan is to play the upcoming championship match in 2024, not 2025. After that, I would expect the next match to be in 2026, back on the 2-year cycle from pre-covid.
Will Magnus officially declining his last opportunity to participate in the 2024 candidates cause this to resolve NO, or does it require an announcement from FIDE that the next world championship match will not be until 2026?
@DanielTilkin I messed it up. Anyway, if Magnus Carlsen is the champion at any point in 2025, regardless of when the match has taken place, this market resolves to YES
Related questions
Related questions
Magnus Carlsen has the highest ELO in the world in mid 2025?
80% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031?
21% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen stay the top-rated chess player through 2025?
73% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen still be the best chess player in 2026?
78% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen, the world chess #1 since 2011, be ranked #1 in 2029.1.1?
24% chance
Who will be a world chess champion before 2050?
Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?
19% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2025?
79% chance
Who will be World Chess Champion at the end of the 2020s?
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2026?
45% chance