Will I ditch OpenAI's ChatGPT Plus for Anthropic Claude AI in one month?
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resolved Oct 24
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NO

I am a ChatGPT Plus heavy user. I use plently of it, including the Code Interpreter feature.

The few times I used Claude (here in Brazil I need a VPN), I was impressed by the gigantic context window, which is important for many things in my job (like summarizing 1h earnings call transcripts).

This market resolves to YES if in one month, I decide to ditch ChatGPT Plus for Claude. I don't see myself paying for both AIs (I am doing a particular operation right now that will be very intensive in summarization and therefore, using Claude)

I won't bet. I may provide guidance.

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Still using ChatGPT and Claude (only for summarizations)

A member of manifold sent me a link for a non-paid version of Claude. I'll test tomorrow. This has the chance of being a game changer for this market.

I am not using Claude as much. Some reasons
1) I would need a VPN on my smartphone. Even on the desktop it's annoying to use Opera
2) I'm only using Claude for summarization. I did not summarize much recently.

I think I'll not renew the Claude at the end of my subscription this month.

@MP DM me your email on discord

predicted NO

How much coding vs summarizing do you do with these tools?

Just to clarify: I am paying for Claude Premium right now and using it with Opera Browser VPN.

Would this bet be more useful (to you) if it were more like "if I try claude (I will try it if the question gets to 75%) will I switch to it?"? Then you could use the market to make a decision.

@makoyass Since the cost of trying claude is low, I guess the threshold probability should be far lower, maybe like, 10%, so then I guess the condition would be "if the market stays at 10% for longer than a day"

@makoyass I am trying and paying for the newly created Claude Plus or whatever. The 5 message limit would be impossible to live with given how often I use ChatGPT

Buy Poe, get both.

predicted YES

@ICRainbow Or just play around with poe, and you can get quite a lot of access for free (poe.com)

@ICRainbow seems very interesting. Do I pay them one subscription and get unlimited access to Claude and ChatGPT, and they use the API to provide me answers?

Bard is my favorite recently. Multimodal is very interesting. It does a good job of critiquing the composition of my paintings. But I use all three regularly. Is there a ChatGPT extension I can use to do that?

@BTE Bard is by far the worst for me. Context window is meager, he quickly forgets stuff. Today I asked him if he could summarize a YouTube video. He said he could. I pasted the link and he down right halucinated

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