How many of the last ten years would you consider Boring?

@ahalekelly 2017 definitely. 2006 too.

@MP but I think the pandemic made the recent years way less boring, so I wouldn't take the base rate too seriously if I were betting

I'm not familiar with Steve, I'm sure he's highly respected in his circles. But his notion of "contrarian" isn't what I'm used to seeing. If I weren't hedging for the possibility that he's a Nobel Prize winner I missed -- Which could easily happen! -- I might word that more strongly.