This market will resolve to the probability in the previous day to the super tuesday of Biden's probability of winning the nomination.

The fields are [0,20%), [20%,40%)...

I may close this market to 0-20% early if the main market is resolved to NO ahead of time, because Biden isn't running or unable to run.

I won't bet

I'll use a average throughout the day of the following market (São Paulo time): /NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n

I reserve myself in the right of changing the original market, if I think there are other markets with significantly more volume on the same subject.