Conditional on running against a Bolsonaro, will mayor Eduardo Paes be reelected mayor of Rio de Janeiro?
Basic
3
Ṁ22Nov 4
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Mayor Eduardo Paes runs for re-election against a Bolsonaro (Jair, Flávio, Eduardo, Carlos, Michelle, Renan), this market will resolve to YES if Eduardo Paes is re-elected as mayor and NO if he isn't. If the condition isn't met, this market resolves to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
56% chance
Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?
71% chance
Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
50% chance
Will Ricardo Nunes be elected mayor of São Paulo in 2024?
99% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the next Brazilian presidential elections?
2% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?
3% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?
10% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?
3% chance
Who will be elected mayor of São Paulo (Brazil) in 2024 🇧🇷