Conditional on LK-99 being replicated, will American Superconductor Company stock trade above $30?
Basic
18
912
2025
53%
chance

If in the 45 days prior or after /QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre is resolved to YES, the American Superconductor Company stock closes a trading day at $30 or more, this market resolves to YES.

This would mean a 4x from the pre-pre-print prices of $7.50

This market resolves to N/A if the other market is resolved to NO or N/A.

I may bet on this market.

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Could we also get a market for if it doesn't replicate?

@Joshua these markets tend to be less fun, because traders usually just price what is on equity markets screens. But you can feel free to create this market!