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MANIFOLD
OpenAI valuation on MNX (October 1st)
20
แน€9kแน€18k
Oct 1
1,857 billion dollars
expected
87%
Above $1T
78%
Above $1.5T
12%
Above $2.5T
2%
Above $4T

Resolves to the mark price on MNX for the OpenAI pre-IPO valuation contract on October 1, 2026 midnight PT. The MNX contract settles to the valuation in billions of dollars after market close following IPO, or if no such listing occurs, to the last public valuation at the end of 2027.

If the market is not live October 1st (including in its current private, invite-only state), this market resolves N/A.

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is the crux not whether it is above 2T?