Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028?

Question

This question resolves yes if by 2028 an AI-generated song, or a song with a significant component that is AI-generated (e.g. a voice or melody) wins a Grammy.

An example of a song that is not completely AI-generated but would still count is Ghostwriter's Heart on my Sleeve, which most likely uses voice conversion to sound like Drake.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 16% chance (11 traders, as of Feb 3, 2026).