Open answer: How many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2024?
29
1.3kṀ13k
resolved Dec 18
Resolved
NO
236 or more
Resolved
NO
269 or more
Resolved
NO
306 or more
Resolved
YES
an even number
Resolved
NO
Exactly 0
Resolved
NO
Exactly 232
Resolved
NO
Exactly 306

If Biden is not the Democratic nominee, this question will be about the Democratic presidential candidate instead.

Answers will be resolved based on the actual Electoral College votes, not electors' pledges. Unfaithful electors may impact the outcome.

Feel free to add answers! I will interpret a bare number like "250" as "250 or more".

Mon 15 July update:
The original title mentioned Biden with an asterisk and the original description stated: "If Biden is not the Democratic nominee, this question will be about the Democratic presidential candidate instead." When I initially created this market, the possibility of Biden dropping out was seen as unlikely, so the title seemed appropriate. However, I now realize that an asterisk in the title might be too subtle of a hint to check the description, so I included the information directly in the title.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ457
2Ṁ294
3Ṁ292
4Ṁ222
5Ṁ210
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy