Will there be media coverage of a high-profile privacy violation caused by GPT-4 plug-in interactions before 2024?
10
230Ṁ432
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

This resolves YES if there is at least one credible media report of an impactful privacy violation caused by an unexpected (by the user) interaction between GPT-4 and one or more plug-ins. "Impactful" means significant damage to career, relationship or reputation.

An example mechanism by which this could occur is the one proposed by Florian Tramèr in this twitter thread, where telling an LLM assistant to let today's meeting attendees know you are sick exposes you to prompt injection attacks from anyone who can send you a calendar invitation: https://twitter.com/florian_tramer/status/1639301437875273749

If there are no such reports by the end of 2023 then this will resolve NO.

If there are reports that are ambiguous enough that this could not in my opinion be resolved fairly I will resolve as N/A.

(There should probably be other more specific markets for things short-term security risks causing material impacts to large organizations, but let's try starting with this one.)

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