On Episode 2143 of the Effectively Wild podcast, Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley, Ben Clemens, and Michael Baumann each made 10 "bold" predictions about baseball in 2024. Which ones will come true?
Source: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-2143-the-2024-preseason-predictions-game/
Most of, but not all, the predictions are about the MLB season itself. Some are about college baseball. But they will all be resolved by the end of November.
Resolution arbitration of all 40 questions will be determined by official MLB results, the Effectively Wild prediction contest, and the Associated Press.
1,000
3.00@R2D2sm5g yeah, disqualified by the way it was worded! I, like a lot of the of pod, had no idea it had been done before. If I could go back I would probably N/A this one, as a statement that was incorrect (or correct, for that matter) from the beginning probably shouldn't qualify as a "prediction" anyway.
@LukeW per EW Episode 2249 this total dipped to 27.94. Pretty low but not low enough! Needed 27.90 and resolves as NO. This completes this market. Thanks to all who participated this season!
@LukeW Holliday: 0.0, Jobe: 0.0, Churio 3.9, Merrill 5.3 -- approx. 9.2
Diaz: 1.9, O'Neill 2.5, Garcia -0.2, Lorenzen 0.7 -- approx 4.9
oops
@R2D2sm5g I haven't added up the WARs on this yet. If you can provided the evidence, please do. Otherwise I'll get to it soon.
@LukeW yeah no worries take your time
i just did a quick estimation -- don't think it's particularly close.