Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term
3
100Ṁ44
2029
52%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Trump receives an official state visit to the United Kingdom after September 19, 2025 and before January 20, 2029 (the end of his second term). An official state visit is defined as a formal diplomatic visit where Trump is hosted by the British monarch with full state ceremony, as recognized by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office or the Royal Household. Resolution can be verified through official announcements from the UK government, the White House, or the Royal Family's official channels.

Background

Trump completed a state visit to the UK from September 16-18, 2025, during his second presidency—his second state visit overall, with the first occurring in June 2019 during his first term. Historically, US presidents are typically invited for tea with the British monarch if they visit the UK for a second time while in office, and Trump's predecessors George W. Bush and Barack Obama only made a state visit once, receiving tea at Windsor Castle during the end of their second terms. Trump is the only American president to have been granted two British state visits.

Considerations

Trump's second term ends on January 20, 2029. The question asks whether he will receive "ANOTHER" state visit, meaning a third one. Given the unprecedented nature of receiving two state visits and the historical precedent of tea rather than formal state visits for second-term presidential visits, a third state visit would be exceptionally rare.

Market context
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