Who will be elected to Portland City Council, District 4 (West)?
Basic
7
Ṁ1184
Nov 6
48%
Olivia Clark
45%
Tony Morse
30%
Mitch Green
23%
Moses Ross
23%
Michael Trimble
23%
Eli Arnold
23%
Sarah Silkie
23%
Stephen Hall
23%
Mike Di Napoli
23%
Ben Hufford
23%
Stan Penkin
23%
Eric Zimmerman
23%
Bob Weinstein
23%
John Toran
23%
Chad Lykins
16%
Soren Underdahl
11%
Jeremy Beausoleil Smith

Background

In 2022, 57% of Portland voters approved changes to the city charter that will transition the city government to ranked-choice voting, a 12-member city council elected by district, and a mayor elected citywide to oversee services with a city administrator. Each district will elect three council members using multi-winner ranked-choice voting.

While candidate registration does not open until 5 June, several prospective candidates have filed a campaign committee with the state. Market options may be subject to change. [0]

[0] r/Portland post by u/MountScottRumpot


Market Resolution

This is a forecasting market. Market will close when polls close (8 PM PST, 5 Nov 2024).

Options will resolve based on certified results from the Portland City Elections Office. In case of an automatic recount (triggered if the vote difference is under 0.002% as per Oregon Law [1]), the market will follow the recount results. If certified results face a later recount, a new subsequent market will be established.

[1] ORS 258.280


Disclaimer

I do not bet in markets I create to avoid motivated reasoning. In the event that I am unable or unavailable to resolve a market, the market may be resolved my Manifold Mods. Any changes to the market description will be noted in the change log.

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