Who will be elected to Portland City Council, District 1 (East)?
Basic
4
Ṁ259
Nov 6
48%
Candace Avalos
44%
Thomas Shervey
44%
Steph Routh
44%
Terrence Hayes
44%
Jamie Dunphy
44%
Timur Ender
44%
David Linn
44%
Sonja McKenzie
44%
Cayle Tern
44%
Deian Salazar
27%
Joe Furi

Background

In 2022, 57% of Portland voters approved changes to the city charter that will transition the city government to ranked-choice voting, a 12-member city council elected by district, and a mayor elected citywide to oversee services with a city administrator. Each district will elect three council members using multi-winner ranked-choice voting.

While candidate registration does not open until 5 June, several prospective candidates have filed a campaign committee with the state. Market options may be subject to change. [0]

[0] r/Portland post by u/MountScottRumpot


Market Resolution

This is a forecasting market. Market will close when polls close (8 PM PST, 5 Nov 2024).

Options will resolve based on certified results from the Portland City Elections Office. In case of an automatic recount (triggered if the vote difference is under 0.002% as per Oregon Law [1]), the market will follow the recount results. If certified results face a later recount, a new subsequent market will be established.

[1] ORS 258.280


Disclaimer

I do not bet in markets I create to avoid motivated reasoning. In the event that I am unable or unavailable to resolve a market, the market may be resolved my Manifold Mods. Any changes to the market description will be noted in the change log.

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