Will a single independent candidate (barring Trump) get more than 5% of the pop vote in the 2024 US Pres election? | Manifold

Will a single independent candidate (barring Trump) get more than 5% of the pop vote in the 2024 US Pres election?

Plus

23

Ṁ5570

resolved Nov 13

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If trump runs as independepentant and gets more than 5% of vote while no other independent does then resolves to NO.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ2,688 NO

@mods Inactive creator, resolves NO.

bought Ṁ100 NO

resolves NO @LoydWeldy

Related questions

[Metaculus] Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote...US presidential election?

Would the independent party US president nominees (combine if there is more than 1) gets more than 20% of popular vote?

Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?

Will a third party candidate win the 2028 USA presidential election?

Related questions

[Metaculus] Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote...US presidential election?

Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?

Would the independent party US president nominees (combine if there is more than 1) gets more than 20% of popular vote?

Will a third party candidate win the 2028 USA presidential election?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules