Resolution criteria

• This resolves YES if, on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on September 30, 2025, Donald J. Trump is (a) hospitalized for ≥24 consecutive hours due to illness (non‑elective), or (b) admitted to an ICU due to illness, or (c) publicly confirmed by the White House/official physician as having a life‑threatening illness or dying from illness. Verification requires either an official White House statement or two independent major outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters). (whitehouse.gov, reuters.com)

• Exclusions: injuries/assaults (e.g., gunshot wound), elective/cosmetic procedures without complications, routine observation/ER stays <24h, or illness first confirmed after the deadline. Hospitalizations that begin before the deadline but continue after still count. (apnews.com)

Background

• Trump (born June 14, 1946) is 79 and is serving again as U.S. president in 2025. (britannica.com)

• He was hospitalized at Walter Reed for COVID‑19 from Oct 2–5, 2020. Older adults face substantially higher odds of ICU admission and in‑hospital death when hospitalized for COVID‑19. (apnews.com, npr.org, cdc.gov)

• He survived a July 13, 2024 assassination attempt that caused an ear injury; that was not an illness. (apnews.com, en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

• Presidential health disclosures can be limited or delayed; resolution relies on hospital admission records or official statements, not rumors. (whitehouse.gov)

• If conflicting reports occur, the market waits until two major outlets or an official statement converge before resolving. (reuters.com, whitehouse.gov)