https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot & have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT, else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-9-17, 365 players remain.

Will 3 or more people lose the game and die in Tontine on the same day at any point for the rest of this year? This includes 2023-12-31 and excludes 2024-1-1. Of note: this has happened 5 times in the last 100 days (3 threes and 2 fours).

The market resolves NO by default on 2024-1-1, and YES if 3 or more people lose in a single day on or before that date. It resolves N/A if Tontine is canceled for any reason.

Tontine

Tontine: everybody buys in, and the last person alive takes the pot. Log in every day to confirm you’re still alive.