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MANIFOLD
Will the Tontine surviving player count be 286 (1/25) or less as of 2023-12-31?
11
Ṁ190Ṁ5.4k
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-6-10, 424 players remain.

The market resolves YES if the living count is 286 (1/25 of the original population) or less as of 12:05 AM EST on 2023-12-31, and NO if the living count is 287 or more at that time. It resolves early to YES if the living population should fall to or below 286 before that time, and to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.

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predictedNO

@blackle Oh! It's you! Hello!

predictedYES

@Lorxus it's me!

Unambiguously fixed market. @ShadowyZephyr @OracularJay @LiamSterling if any of you have lingering problems with my N/Aing and duplicating, let me know.

@Lorxus No worries here! Didn’t even notice the issue myself lol

@Lorxus I bought yes on the last one and I’ll buy yes again lmao