
Will the Tontine surviving player count be 256 (1/28) or less as of 2024-5-18?
4
Ṁ70Ṁ955resolved May 18
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https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2024-1-19, 303 players remain.
The market resolves YES if the living count is 256 (1/28 of the original population) or less as of 12:05 AM EST on 2024-5-18, and NO if the living count is 257 or more at that time. It resolves early to YES if the living population should fall to or below 256 before that time, and to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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