Will the Tontine surviving player count be 300 or less as of the indicated date?
6
203
αΉ€345
resolved Jan 9
Resolved
NO
2023-12-1
Resolved
NO
2023-12-11
Resolved
NO
2023-12-21
Resolved
NO
2023-12-31
Resolved
NO
2024-1-10

https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-9-10, 370 players remain.

Each choice in this market resolves YES if the living count is 300 or less as of 12:05 AM EST on its labelled date, and NO if the living count is 301 or more at that time. It resolves early to YES if the living population should fall to or below 300 before that time, and to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.

Get αΉ€600 play money

πŸ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1αΉ€32
2αΉ€20
3αΉ€6
4αΉ€4
Sort by:
reposted

realistically the last of these will resolve NO but that's just a reason to come to the extension market that I made more typoes in because I copied it from this one and forgot to change the year!

https://manifold.markets/Lorxus/will-the-tontine-surviving-player-c-b9e31d16921c?r=TG9yeHVz

bought αΉ€59 of 2024-1-10 NO

312

@Lorxus resolve 31 12 2023 please

bought αΉ€25 of 2023-12-31 NO

...I might have to make another of these for later dates, given the slowdown.