https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-3-25, 493 players remain.
The market resolves YES if the living count is 446 (1/16 of the original population - 4 half lives) or less as of 12:05 AM EST on 2023-5-18, and NO if the living count is 447 or more at that time. It resolves early to YES if the living population should fall to or below 446 before that time, and to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน297 | |
| 2 | แน113 | |
| 3 | แน30 | |
| 4 | แน28 | |
| 5 | แน23 |
People are also trading
@ChristopherRandles I'm modelling them as entirely separate, with no correlation between a high/low death day and then the next day.
@Lorxus Yeah, it's not that low chance, like I think it's been the case 2 out of the past ~40 days or so. But still bigger than usual.