Lorxus prepared their math doctoral thesis for submission as a paper to Journal, the journal their then-advisor recommended. In February 2021, they posted a preprint to arxiv. They defended their thesis successfully - the topic was geometric group theory - sent off the paper, was preliminarily accepted, went back and forth with revisions for most of the first half of 2022, sent off what was intended to be a final revision, and was ultimately told in late 2023 that the paper had been accepted for publication.

Lorxus currently lives in [Fox City], a mid-sized city in the northeast US.

Thus do we ask: will Lorxus's paper appear as a submission in Journal before Lorxus ups stakes, leaves their den, and moves to a different city to pursue a different opportunity, or the year 2025 arrives?

The market resolves early to YES if the paper is accepted for publication in Journal before Lorxus moves house next, and NO if 2025 rolls around and Lorxus still hasn't had their (accepted for publication) paper published.