Will Lorxus, the author of this market, survive Tontine until 2024?
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แน3265resolved Dec 31
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YES1D
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https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-4-2, 486 players remain.
The market resolves YES if Lorxus, a currently surviving player in the Tontine, is still a surviving player of Tontine as of 2024-1-1 at 12:10 AM EST, and resolves early to NO if they lose the game at any point before then, due to forgetting, user error, and/or failure of any safeguards. It resolves N/A if the game is canceled for any reason, and resolves early to YES if Lorxus is a winner of Tontine before that time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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