Will GPT4/Opus report >50% score on ARC in 2024?
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1kṀ26kresolved Jan 1
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ARC is a general-purpose AI eval designed to test intelligence as opposed to memorization. https://arcprize.org/arc
This market resolves to Yes if there are public demonstrations of GPT4 or Claude Opus solving at least 50% of the ARC questions in 2024.
(note that this is separate from winning the arc price, which requires only using open-source models)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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