Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on Luka Dončić's highest single-game point total in the 2024-25 NBA regular season . Only official NBA games count - preseason, exhibition, or international games are excluded. If multiple scoring thresholds are exceeded, only the highest will resolve as yes, all lower will resolve as NO.
for clarification 20+ mean 20 or more
For example:
If Dončić scores 60 points, "60+" will resolve as YES, and all lower thresholds will resolve as NO
1,000Luka only has 2 55+ pt games out of 435 regular season games
2 in the last 140 regular season games
1 in the last 70 regular season games
0 in 50 playoff games
so 1% seems like fair odds
With 18 games left, and he probably won't play in all of them so this should be upwards of 80%, maybe as high as 99% ^ 15 = 86%
@ChinmayTheMathGuy might be downplaying the odds since he has 7 50+ point games in which he averaged 55.4 PPG, so we'd expect 4 55+ pt games in the last 200. Which is 2%