1
Will any Chatbot beat GPT-4 by July 1, 2024?
LoganZoellner avatar
Logan Zoellner
12
closes 2024
63%
chance

The Chatbot Arena Leaderboard (https://chat.lmsys.org/?arena) lists GPT-4 in the number 1 spot with an ELO of 1225.

In the number 2 spot is Claude with an ELO 1195

Will any chatbot replace GPT-4 in the number one spot before July 1, 2024?

Fine print:

If https://chat.lmsys.org/?arena ceases to function, the question may resolve on the basis of a similar site that gives ELOs for chatbots based off of real human blind side-by-side judgements.

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