On Apr 22, 2024, Manifold announced that they will dilute the donation value of Mana by 10x on May 1, from 100:1 USD to 1000:1 USD. They are also lifting the per-user donation cap, in expectation of a large sell-off (donate-off?).

Currently, the charity page claims that donations will be wired once per quarter. Will Manifold have enough cash on hand to wire all donations from April-June 2024 in a timely manner?

Resolves NO if after Sep 30, 2024, any listed charity claims not to have received the amount listed on its Manifold Charity page as of June 30, and Manifold does not offer compelling evidence otherwise.

Resolves YES if no such claim is made by Dec 31, 2024.