Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if two or more sitting United States Senators die during the month of July 2026 (specifically from July 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC through July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC). It resolves to NO if one or zero sitting Senators die during this timeframe.

• Current Status: Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) passed away on July 11, 2026. His death counts as the first. For this market to resolve to YES, at least one other sitting U.S. Senator must pass away before the end of July 2026.

• Definition of "Sitting Senator": Any individual officially serving as a member of the U.S. Senate at the time of their death.

• Sources of Truth: Official Senate announcements (https://www.senate.gov) or reports from major news organizations (such as AP News or Reuters).

Background

On July 11, 2026, longtime South Carolina Republican Senator Lindsey Graham passed away at the age of 71 after a brief and sudden illness. He had represented South Carolina in the Senate since 2003. At the time of this market's generation, his passing represents the only death of a sitting U.S. Senator in July 2026.

This description was generated by AI.