Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?
27
1kṀ5292049
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES upon release of a peer-reviewed, 5 sigma result confirming this
Resolves NO at close, otherwise
Close date updated to 2049-12-31 6:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
I'm also assuming https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_interaction#Higgs_interaction doesn't count since it appears to already be well-recognized.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a new fundamental physical force be discovered by January 1, 2040?
13% chance
Will scientists confirm a 5th force of nature before 2026?
9% chance
Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?
45% chance
Will we discover evidence of a cosmic string before 2050?
10% chance
Will a Beyond the Standard Model Particle be discovered by 2025?
10% chance
Will a new element be discovered before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will String Theory have experimental validation by 2050?
7% chance
Will a new subatomic particle be experimentally confirmed to exist before 2040?
30% chance
Will we discover evidence of a magnetic monopole before 2050?
5% chance
Will it be possible for AI to have the potential to discover sub-quark structures by end of 2025?
10% chance