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Will the number of traders on this market be prime?
Predictions on Predictions
15
4
Ṁ451
Ṁ103
resolved Jun 30
Resolved
NO
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Get Ṁ200 play money
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Name
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1
Ṁ33
2
Ṁ30
3
Ṁ13
4
Ṁ4
5
Ṁ3
2 Comments
14 Holders
29 Trades
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Current probability would suggest it ends with ~170 traders. Probability of a number being prime is roughly 1/ln(n), so n=170 gets you this market. I somehow doubt it will get to 170, so I'm going to bet upwards towards n=50, ~26%
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