Will the number of traders on this market be prime?
29%
chance
LivInTheLookingGlassOlivia
Jun 30
M$199 bet
LivInTheLookingGlass
Olivia is betting NO at 19%
4 days ago
Current probability would suggest it ends with ~170 traders. Probability of a number being prime is roughly 1/ln(n), so n=170 gets you this market. I somehow doubt it will get to 170, so I'm going to bet upwards towards n=50, ~26%
0
SymbolProject
Symbol Project bought M$5 of NO
4 days ago
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0