I want to borrow M$10,000 for 1 month. What percent of this will I pay the borrower at the end?
12
320Ṁ1698
resolved Dec 27
Resolved
0

If someone agrees to loan me M$10000 for 1 month, how much will I pay back? This resolves at the end of the first such 1 month loan. The loan will be processed by the loaner creating a manalink for M$10000. I will then create a manalink for the amount owed, which the loaner agrees to not cash for one month. If there are no takers, I resolve to N/A

To initiate the process, comment 'I will accept M$____'. At first close, I will take the lowest such offer first, but I may take more than one. After this, the market will reopen. The market will then resolve to the amount paid back to the first lender

Related:


Close date updated to 2022-11-02 11:59 am

Close date updated to 2022-12-02 11:59 am

Close date updated to 2022-11-26 11:59 am

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predictedHIGHER 2y

lmao

predictedHIGHER 2y

Link was never claimed. It's been a month. If @Yev does not comment otherwise, I will resolve this market to 0 in ~48 hours. I say that because I hadn't realized that they hadn't claimed it after being gone for a while, and ended up spending a lot of it via triggered limit orders, so I would need to liquidate.

predictedLOWER 2y

@LivInTheLookingGlass I'm really confused why I missed this comment and the manalink you sent me. But I did, so I guess I lost 10k...

predictedLOWER 2y

@Yev Well, 9k.

I accept the offer from @Yev at M$10,837

2y

Unfortunately I could not buy enough NO shares to make my plan profitable, and this market closes too soon :(

2y

I'll accept M$10,836

2y

Since @cos withdrew M$10,837:
I withdraw M$10,836.
I will accept M$10,837.

2y

I'll accept M$10,825

2y

@Yev I withdraw this offer

2y

I don't understand the scale of this market. It's currently at 90. Does that imply that you'd borrow M$10000 and send back M$9000 at the end (if so, sign me up for such a loan!)? or that you'd borrow M$10000 and send back $19000 at the end? or that you'd send back ~$M10000 + (M$10000*.9*1/12)=M$10750 at the end?

none of these (except that last one) are remotely close to the current bids, and the last one seems suspect given you said nothing about annualized interest or whatever.

@Adam that would be @Yev Going all in on the process going wrong somehow. They are predicting negative interest as a proxy for {fraud, failure, etc}

2y

@Adam I'm predicting that the lender is expected to lose ~M$100 with this loan.

Current bids:

All bids higher than 11k are rejected unless at least two of these retract

2y

I will accept $10,837

2y

@cos I withdraw.

2y

This resolves at the end of the first such 1 week loan

*month

@Yev thank you!

2y

I will accept $10,838

2y

I will accept $10,900

2y

I will accept $11,000

2y

I will accept M$11,250

2y

I will accept M$11,500

2y

I will accept M$12,000

2y

I will accept M$12,500.

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