Won't be affected by changing team names. There has to be an official announcement by the team or Ewan himself to resolve the question to no (edited from yes, of course there has to be a transfer announced for no, not for staying). He doesn't have to ride or race. If the team decides to shorten his salary according to UCI rules, this won't affect the question.
Background: https://www.cyclingnews.com/news/caleb-ewan-the-team-has-made-it-clear-that-they-would-prefer-me-to-leave/
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This official statement resolves the question. Thanks everyone for placing their bets :). There are a lot of other transfer rumor markets. You are able to find a few on the following dashboard.
https://www.lottodstny.be/en/news/detail/5108/thank-you-caleb
@Lion https://manifold.markets/dashboard/road-cycling-transfers-20232024
