Will Anna Kiesenhofer beat Christina Schweinberger in the Olympic ITT?
Will Anna Kiesenhofer beat Christina Schweinberger in the Olympic ITT?
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100Ṁ961resolved Jul 27
Resolved
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It's all about the time.
In the Austrian National ITT Kiesenhofer beat Schweinberger with just 0.38 seconds after 23.6 km.
As a bit of background information: Anna Kiesenhofer, Christina Schweinberger, and the Austrian cycling federation have a bit of a history, especially before the last Olympic Games in Tokyo, when Anna Kiesenhofer wasn't the favored candidate to go to the Olympics (before she won the gold medal). Of course, the situation has changed a lot since then, but some people might say there is still a bit of tension...
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.