Which thresholds will Bitcoin (BTC) hit in April?
48
477
3.3K
May 1
50%
$70,000 (after April 14th)
1%
$100,000
1.8%
$90,000
11%
$80,000
22%
$75,000
57%
$60,000
36%
$55,000
17%
$50,000
6%
$45,000
1.7%
$40,000
1%
$30,000

This question will resolve according to CoinMarketCap. Single trades on Kraken or you selling 1/100k BTC for $1 to your friend don't count.

Thresholds resolve whenever they are hit, with the explicit definition: "price of BTC at any point in time in April" <= threshold <= "price of BTC at any point in time in April".

The relevant timezone is UTC. All thresholds that aren't hit until May 1st, 2024, 00:00 UTC, will resolve as NO.

I've set up notifications for these (with a delay), but feel free to tag me in the comments if a threshold is hit. Mods are explicitly entitled to resolve if they choose to do so.

I might add more options later on.

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$65,000 (2nd attempt)
bought Ṁ853 $65,000 (2nd attempt) YES

Was just hit

$70,000 (2nd attempt)
bought Ṁ10,000 $70,000 (2nd attempt) YES

$70,000 (2nd attempt) resolves YES

$70,000 (2nd attempt)

@Lion the existence of the "2nd attempt" contract seems to imply that it will only resolve if the threshold is hit again after some start time. Can you clarify what exactly that start time is?

@IsaacCarruthers The 70k threshold was hit right at the opening on April 1st, and resolved accordingly. This second attempt simply asks if it'll happen again this month.

@IsaacCarruthers What Daniel says. You can see the exact start time by marking the answer and by clicking on the created time. Everything from then on counts.

bought Ṁ99 $65,000 YES
bought Ṁ10,000 $65,000 YES

@deagol Thanks ❤

bought Ṁ5 $75,000 YES

@Lion

So to be clear, since we have met the 70k threshold in April, have we also met all thresholds less than 70?

@SusanneinFrance No, it has to cross the threshold accordingly to the description:


Thresholds resolve whenever they are hit, with the explicit definition: "price of BTC at any point in time in April" <= threshold <= "price of BTC at any point in time in April".

@Lion So, it has to go lower than that threshold e.g., if it is currently above that value?

@SusanneinFrance correct. Ie it'd resolve $65k, when it hits $64.9k but not right now.

bought Ṁ5 $30,000 YES

@Lion Got it!

@Lion @SusanneinFrance doesn't need to go lower, just touching 65k meets the definition:

65<=65<=65 ✅

@deagol correct, just wanted to make it clear with an obvious example

70k resolves YES