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The race was intensely competitive and super close almost the entire time. Lindsay was slightly beating me at the halfway mark and the 3 quarter mark, and then I pulled ahead meaningfully at the end with a minute lead in the last quarter.
Even though I ultimately won, the true probability should definitely not have been 15% in my favor and I was way too confident going in. It was not at all clear that I would win until the very end and I pushed myself really hard.
@CarsonGale Congrats on the win and thank you for your frequent updates about the race!
@CarsonGale Depends probably on what your avg pace is. Best estimates are that they're somewhere between 3-5% faster than a normal shoe. So 24 seconds if you average 8:00/miles at the top end. For me there's also a psychological boost. See: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/12/13/upshot/nike-vaporfly-next-percent-shoe-estimates.html
@JCE Hey! I remember reading this article and watching some videos/doing my own research into it and for the last 1.5-ish years, ZoomX Vaporfly have been my go to running shoes! I sometimes even wear them for walking and I can attest to how comfortable they are. What a great purchase.
@firstuserhere That's awesome. They are pretty miraculous and definitely make running more fun. I don't wear them often because their durability isn't the best, but definitely a product that's worth every dollar. I have a pair of hokas that also have a carbon plate, and there are plenty of other competitors now, but I think Nikes still have an edge.
As an update, we started the race and were both around the same pace for the first mile or so, after which I started to pull ahead. I didn't see Lindsay for the next 2 miles or so until I was coming back (it was an out and back), at which point I learned that Lindsay had started experiencing severe cramping and decided she wouldn't be able to finish.
We collectively decided to postpone the race in the spirit of fairness, and expect to try again either today or next weekend.
Lindsay still feels confident she can beat me if she weren't cramping, but I am conversely even more confident now that I can beat her given performance over the first 2 miles.
This race is reminding me of the end of this SNL skit
@CarsonGale Goodluck, enjoy the profits and the victory, if you win, but I feel compelled to take at least part of that limit order. Have a good race!