Will this market resolve above 50 percent?
140
1.1K
510
resolved Aug 18
Resolved
NO

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predicted YES

@DavidChee Shouldn't this resolve N/A? It was resolved 10 days before closing date, after some manipulation by the creator

predicted YES

he change the resolve date to make him win. It's a scam

predicted NO

@JeanMro resolve date does not matter. Do you mean close date? How do i see changes about closure?

predicted YES

@KongoLandwalker The announced close date was August 28. Not sure where you can see what it was before resolution

predicted NO
predicted NO
predicted YES

@JeanMro and i thought my memory was wrong!

These markets are essentially prone to whales pushing it into the opposite direction it currently is at the last minute, no?

@Soren I'm not a fan of these kinds of markets tbh. Is there a way I can remove them from my feed?

predicted NO

@Indigo Go to Non-Predictive group and "don't show questions". Repeat for Self-referential and self-resolving

@KongoLandwalker thank you 👍

predicted YES

@Soren Especially so when @LightLawliet trade to push it into no right before resolving it.

bought Ṁ40 of YES

Skibidi bop yes yes yes

sold Ṁ16 of NO

I just realized that the question is "Will this market resolve above 50 percent?", not close. Not sure if that's intended but I have sold my position just to be safe.

predicted YES

Title has been corrected, question is valid now.

predicted NO

@Lordoffatcats question was valid even before the change. Changing the title to a completely new question is cheating.

bought Ṁ30 of NO

It cannot close above 50.

The percentage symbol is just a shorter way to write 1/100. When we write 50% that would expand to 50%=50*1/100=0.5.

The number 50 converted to percentages would be 5000%. The max value it can possibly resolve to is lower (1<50). So the answer is straight up NO.

It cannot even resolve N/A, because in this case it is not resolving above 50 and also should be NO.

The question is, do you know some bug that will allow you to force resolution to an uncapped number?

@KongoLandwalker Obviously 50 percent is the intended meaning. If you think this is a problem, I will change the title just for you.

predicted NO

@LightLawliet changing the title is the problem. I have already made my bet, and now you change the number in the question.

If you wanted to do 50% market, then you should do a separate one. Changing the key point of the market is not a good behaviour.

@KongoLandwalker bro shut up lmao

@KongoLandwalker Lawyering this is stupid. You knew what they meant, you’re just trying to troll.

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr No. 1) It is a prediction market, a place about accuracy.

2) I did think that the person intentionally set the number very high to resolve it NO and test predictors attention. As a new user that is a normal behaviour to test the community and understand whether you would value staying on the site.

3) Even if he meant 50%, he messed up and should resolve it accordingly to the question he created. If he wanted specifically 50% after that, he us supposed to create a new market with the question he wants, because this one was well defined and changing it's core is cheating.