Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in a war during the 2nd Trump administration?
5
100Ṁ1992029
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a nuclear bomb is used against an enemy target by any nation at any point between Trump’s inauguration and (hopeful) exit from office. If Trump dies this question will apply to JD Vance’s administration.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
12% chance
Will Trump bomb Iran during his second term?
30% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
24% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
23% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
20% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
13% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
17% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war?
7% chance