Will Donald Trump send another tweet in 2023?
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1.1kṀ9482resolved Jan 1
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Since being allowed to come back to the platform formerly known as twitter, former U.S. President Donald Trump has sent one tweet, the day he got his first mugshot, in order to raise funds from the event.
Will he tweet/send a message on X from his @realdonaldtrump account in 2023?
This question will resolve as "YES" if any message, of any sort is sent from @realdonaldtrump on the X platform by 12-31-2023 11:59:59 pm EST and resolve as "NO" otherwise.
Truth Social and other social media platforms do not count, this is for X, the platform formerly know as twitter, only.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.