Will "Why Are Bacteria So Simple? " make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Basic

1

Ṁ3Feb 1

17%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.

This market will resolve to 100% if the post Why Are Bacteria So Simple? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and1.00

## Related questions

## Related questions

Will "Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

46% chance

Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

51% chance

Will "Fucking Goddamn Basics of Rationalist Discourse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

49% chance

Will "Most People Don't Realize We Have No Idea How..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

37% chance

Will "Why Would Belief-States Have A Fractal Struct..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

44% chance

Will "Model Organisms of Misalignment: The Case for..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

79% chance

Will "How useful is mechanistic interpretability?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

25% chance

Will "re: Yudkowsky on biological materials" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

19% chance

Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

21% chance

Will "The ants and the grasshopper" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

81% chance