Will "Why Are Bacteria So Simple? " make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1
120Ṁ3resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Why Are Bacteria So Simple? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will "Reconsider the anti-cavity bacteria if you ar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Simple versus Short: Higher-order degeneracy ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Why is o1 so deceptive?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Two easy things that maybe Just Work to impro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Best Lay Argument is not a Simple English..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Why I’m not a Bayesian" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Standard Analogy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Leopold Model: Analysis and Reactions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Simple probes can catch sleeper agents" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "o1: A Technical Primer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance