Will "What a compute-centric framework says about A..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
4
Ṁ113Feb 1
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post What a compute-centric framework says about AI takeoff speeds is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Inte..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "Towards Developmental Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
73% chance
Will "There are no coherence theorems" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Great Data Integration Schlep" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
32% chance
Will "Thoughts on responsible scaling policies and ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "LeCun’s “A Path Towards Autonomous Machine In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Comp Sci in 2027 (Short story by Eliezer Yudk..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance