As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Whack-a-Mole is Not a Winnable Game is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
The UK passed a law a few years ago that made all recreational drugs illegal except alcohol, caffeine, and nicotine, regardless of harm, or lack of it. This was stupid in the other direction. I find it telling that successive conservative governments have had zero commitment to try and stamp out deadly recreational drug use, it's only when one seems not that bad that they freak out.
That's a really good article!