Will "We need 3rd party Training-Run Assessments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
0
Ṁ1k2028
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post We need 3rd party Training-Run Assessments is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "How training-gamers might function (and win)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Stress Testing Deliberative Alignment for Ant..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Activation Oracles: Training and Evaluating L..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Pretraining on Aligned AI Data Dramatically R..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Anthropic repeatedly accidentally trained aga..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Towards Alignment Auditing as a Numbers-Go-Up..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Training a Reward Hacker Despite Perfect Labels" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Training on Documents About Reward Hacking In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "Learnings from AI safety course so far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Are there lessons from high-reliability engin..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
40% chance