Will "How training-gamers might function (and win)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
1
1kṀ112027
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post How training-gamers might function (and win) is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The case for training frontier AIs on Sumeria..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Skills from a year of Purposeful Rationality ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "What We Learned Trying to Diff Base and Chat ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "o1: A Technical Primer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "The "Think It Faster" Exercise" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
65% chance
Will "Mechanistically Eliciting Latent Behaviors in..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "What happens if you present 500 people with a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Training on Documents About Reward Hacking In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance