Will "Training a Reward Hacker Despite Perfect Labels" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
1
1kṀ102027
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Training a Reward Hacker Despite Perfect Labels is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Training on Documents About Reward Hacking In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Mechanistically Eliciting Latent Behaviors in..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Catching AIs red-handed" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Discriminating Behaviorally Identical Classif..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "How training-gamers might function (and win)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Behavioral red-teaming is unlikely to produce..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Skills from a year of Purposeful Rationality ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Explore More: A Bag of Tricks to Keep Your Li..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Introducing AI Lab Watch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "The Leopold Model: Analysis and Reactions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance