Will "There are (probably) no superhuman Go AIs: st..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Plus
0
Feb 1
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post There are (probably) no superhuman Go AIs: strong human players beat the strongest AIs is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "There should be more AI safety orgs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "There should be more AI safety orgs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "Why Not Just... Build Weak AI Tools For AI Al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "Overview of strong human intelligence amplifi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
45% chance
Will "The Checklist: What Succeeding at AI Safety W..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
36% chance
Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "Even Superhuman Go AIs Have Surprising Failur..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "What I Would Do If I Were Working On AI Gover..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance