Will "The ‘strong’ feature hypothesis could be wrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
2
Ṁ4002026
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The ‘strong’ feature hypothesis could be wrong is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Accidentally Load Bearing" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Inte..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "Overview of strong human intelligence amplifi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
45% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "The Base Rate Times, news through prediction ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "Dark Forest Theories" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "I still think it's very unlikely we're observ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "How much do you believe your results?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
90% chance