Will "The basic reasons I expect AGI ruin" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ4Feb 1
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The basic reasons I expect AGI ruin is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Predictable updating about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
53% chance
Will "Ways I Expect AI Regulation To Increase Extin..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
39% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Why Not Just... Build Weak AI Tools For AI Al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Talking publicly about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "Many arguments for AI x-risk are wrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Clarifying and predicting AGI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance